Global warming

Global warming is the raising of average atmospheric temperature, and has been a natural phenomenon that has occurred several times through geologic time. For example, the Earth's average air temperature has increased hundreds of times over the last 900,000 years and then decreased again each time. These cycles of approximately 1,500 years can be seen in proxy records such as the Vostok Ice Core.[1]

The term, however, is often understood as referring to the raising temperatures of the last ca. 100 years. Causes of this recent global warming have been strongly debated in the last decades; most scientists, however, reached a consensus on its anthropogenic origin. An extended discussion of anthropogenic global warming is given in the 4th IPCC report.

Since the beginning of written historical records in Ancient Rome, there has been a warm period, followed by the cool period of the Dark Ages, followed by the Medieval Climate Optimum (when Greenland was colonized), a Little Ice Age (when European settlers abandoned Greenland), and since around 1850 a warming trend.

In the historical ice-core records, variations in carbon dioxide levels correlate closely with the ups and downs of air temperature, lagging behind by about 800 ± 200 years. Most scientists believe that the variations in carbon dioxide are driven by the variations in air temperature in the historical record because of natural variations in Earth's axis tilt and orbit around the Sun, called Milankovitch cycles. These slight changes in Earth's movement cause the onset of the warming. This warming leads to higher carbon dioxide level, which in turn cause further warming (positive feedback). Measurements of present-day warming show carbon dioxide leads temperature.

When the Sun boasts a maximum of spots, cycle after cycle, Earth tends to be warmer than when its face is clear. [2] A lengthy period of cold weather coincided with the Maunder Minimum when hardly any sunspots were observed.

Since 1989, controversy has raged over the anthropogenic global warming theory that emissions of carbon dioxide and other "greenhouse gases" is responsible for much or most of the recent decades' warming. Adherents of this theory generally support the Kyoto Protocol, ostensibly intended to reduce emissions and thus prevent further warming.