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1. Political risk | |||
- Stability, predictability and transparency of political institutions | |||
- Public and national security | |||
- Responsiveness to change and adapt | |||
2. Income and Economic Structure | |||
- Degree economy is market-oriented | |||
- Extent of property rights | |||
- Per-Capita GDP | |||
3. Economic Growth Prospects | |||
- Changes in standard of living | |||
- Income distribution | |||
4. Fiscal Flexibility | |||
- Tax revenues, expenditures and past performance in balancing budgets | |||
- Methods of deficit financing and their inflationary impact | |||
- Growth friendly tax system and the ease of which it can be changed | |||
- Efficiency of expenditures | |||
5. Government Debt Burden | |||
- Extent to which government can pay and manage its debt | |||
6. Off-Budget and Contingent Liabilities | |||
- Size and health of non-financial public sector enterprises | |||
- Health of financial and banking system | |||
7. Monetary Stability | |||
- Credit trends | |||
- Price behavior in past economic cycles | |||
- Level, currency and maturity of public sector debt | |||
- Money and credit expansion | |||
- Independence of central bank | |||
- Compatibility of exchange rate regime with monetary policy | |||
- The range and efficiency of monetary policy tools | |||
- Depth and breadth of capital markets | |||
8. External Liquidity | |||
- Structure of merchandise trade, service, income and transfers | |||
- Vulnerability to changes in investor sentiment | |||
- Gross external financing as a percentage of official foreign exchange reserves | |||
9. Private Sector Debt Burdens | |||
- Residents assets and liabilities | |||
10. Public Sector Debt Burdens | |||
- Trends in public sector debt | |||
- Contingent liabilities | |||
- Foreign exchange reserves | |||
McGraw- | |||
Revision as of 06:04, 4 March 2010
1. Political risk - Stability, predictability and transparency of political institutions - Public and national security - Responsiveness to change and adapt 2. Income and Economic Structure - Degree economy is market-oriented - Extent of property rights - Per-Capita GDP 3. Economic Growth Prospects - Changes in standard of living - Income distribution 4. Fiscal Flexibility - Tax revenues, expenditures and past performance in balancing budgets - Methods of deficit financing and their inflationary impact - Growth friendly tax system and the ease of which it can be changed - Efficiency of expenditures 5. Government Debt Burden - Extent to which government can pay and manage its debt 6. Off-Budget and Contingent Liabilities - Size and health of non-financial public sector enterprises - Health of financial and banking system 7. Monetary Stability - Credit trends - Price behavior in past economic cycles - Level, currency and maturity of public sector debt - Money and credit expansion - Independence of central bank - Compatibility of exchange rate regime with monetary policy - The range and efficiency of monetary policy tools - Depth and breadth of capital markets 8. External Liquidity - Structure of merchandise trade, service, income and transfers - Vulnerability to changes in investor sentiment - Gross external financing as a percentage of official foreign exchange reserves 9. Private Sector Debt Burdens - Residents assets and liabilities 10. Public Sector Debt Burdens - Trends in public sector debt - Contingent liabilities - Foreign exchange reserves McGraw-
- Enron was rated investment grade by the NRSRO's four days before bankruptcy;
- The California utilities were rated "A-" two weeks before defaulting;
- WorldCom was rated investment grade three months before filing for bankruptcy;
- Global Crossing was rated investment grade in March 2002 and defaulted on loans in July 2002;
- AT&T Canada was rated investment grade in early February 2002 and defaulted in September 2002; and
- ABB was rated "A2" by Moody's as of March 14th 2002 and was rated "Ba2", negative watch as of October 31, 2002. Similarly, S&P rated ABB at "A+" as of March 14th, 2002 and "BBB-", negative watch as of November 5 th 2002.
S Failures
Enron November 2001 Orange County California, Mercury Finance, Pacific Gas & Electric, Enron, WorldCom, Delphi, General Motors and Ford.
FINANCIAL GATEKEEPERS: CAN THEY PROTECT INVESTORS?, Yasuyuki Fuchita, Robert E. Litan, eds., Brookings Institution Press and the Nomura Institute of Capital Markets Research, 2006
San Diego Legal Studies Paper No. 07-46